Recently the NHL cancelled the 2004-2005 hockey season for good and one has to wonder if it will be back next year and what the economic losses will be.
I think the NHL will be back next year but the players and owners are going to be really hurting financially. The players gave up millions of dollars in pay and endorsements just so they can keep making the millions of dollars they have been making. Which begs the question was that really smart because even with a new contract with the NHL the players would still have been making millions just not as many. So, the oppurtunity cost for the players will be a years worth of pay versus what they will be making next year, which, will not make up for the year of pay since thay will probably be the side to give in, since the players need the NHL more than the NHL needs the players. Instead the palyers will have given up a year of pay and end up making less money next year which is a really bad trade off.
The owners on the other hand will benefit way more thatn the players since most teams were operating at a loss anyways. So. the owners will now be even after one year instead of losing money and then will probably get the settlement they want out of the players and resume making money next year instead of losing it. So the oppurtunity cost for the owners is way better than the players.
However there is another way of looking at this. The fans have been alienated and just like it was for baseball it will take time for the wounds to heal. At first there won't be many fans coming to the games unless the palyers and the NHL cause something exciting to happen or the product is tweaked and made better. It will take a lot of years for the NHL to recover and return to the status it once had. So, in the end the owners and players lose since the NHL as a whole loses. The greed of the players and the owners will cause the whole NHL to lose a lot of money and in the end the oppurtunity cost of the lockout was really high and not really worth it in the short run. In the long run however that reamins to be seen.
Corey Pichler